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VIX Spikes as Market Has Tantrum | Fed Hawkish Cut| Inflation Not Getting to 2% | Dollar Index Breaks Out

By Derek Moore

Show Summary:

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli react to the Fed meeting where people are calling it a hawkish cut and a reset of future expectations of where interest rates end up. Plus, the Dot Plots say long run PCE Inflation will only go to 3% not 2%. Later looking at the Trade Weighted Dollar Index breakout and if it will become a problem for earnings growth in 2025. Of course, the big news last week was the spike in the VIX as the market had a temper tantrum. Finally, they go into earnings expectation, price to forward sales ratio, real retail sales, and more and even a wacky (or not) Amazon prediction.

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Topics Include:

  • Fed Hawkish Rate cut
  • Fed PCE Inflation Dot Plot 3% long run target
  • The Fed Pivot or Fed Reset in effect?
  • The VIX Spikes as the market has a tantrum after Powell press conference
  • Looking at current forward pe ratio for the S&P 500 Index now
  • Earnings expectations and the strong US Dollar
  • The US Dollar breaks out above resistance
  • Forward Price to Sales ratio getting elevated?
  • Goods vs services inflation
  • PPI services is still elevated
  • Would Amazon ever break out its business units to take advantage of AI and their chip?
  • Greenspan fed vs Powell
  • 1994 bull market vs this bull market and does it mean longer to run?

Charts Referenced in the Podcast:

Source: CNBC

Source: FOMC

Source: Bloomberg

Source: Bloomberg

Source: Bloomberg

Source: Fidelity Jurian Timmer

Source: Bloomberg Michael McDonough

Source: Bloomberg

Source: FRED Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Mentioned in this Episode

Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge 

Derek’s new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking 

 Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart 

 Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com 

 www.zegainvestments.com 

Listen to Last Week’s Episode: