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Everyone Betting on Rate Cuts | Blackrock Buying 44% of Homes? | Record Call Option Volume & VVIX and VIX Out of Synch?

By Derek Moore

Show Summary:

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, discuss the new consensus of the Fed doing multiple rate cuts so what could go wrong? Record call option volume while the VVIX makes a move higher while the VIX continues lower. Viral article said 44% of home sales were to big institutions like Blackrock and Innovation homes but it was less than 0.4%. Later they look at whether the Powell Fed and the Voelker Fed are similar in declaring mission accomplished. Finally, they cover how bullish investors have gotten now that we are close to the all-time highs again and any flies in the ointment economically.

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Topics Include:

  • Consensus of multiple Fed rate cuts can be wrong, can it?
  • Why when everyone on the same side sometimes surprises
  • VIX vs the VVIX index
  • What the VVIX spiking while the VIX moves lower means
  • Comparing Chairman Powell’s Fed today to Voelker’s 1982 Fed and going forward for markets
  • The AAII Bull – Bear survey points to high bullishness with market approaching all-time highs.
  • 44% of home sales being bought by Blackrock? Not so fast!
  • Atlanta Fed GDP is now ticking up again.
  • Record Call option volume
  • Fed rate probability tracker tool

Mentioned in this Episode:

No, Wall Street investors haven’t bought 44% of homes this year 

S&P 500 Targets | VIX Index Largest 7-Week declines | Simplifying Synthetic Long Stock with Covered Calls | Labor Force Participation 

Dave Ramsey Wrong? | Huge VIX Options Bets | S&P 500 Seasonality | When Does Government Debt Become a Problem? 

0DTE Options Analysis| Inflation Coming Back? | Strong US Dollar Impact 

Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge 

Derek’s new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking 

Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart