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Economy Weakening? | What Makes Markets Go Up or Down? | Tesla Goes Up and Option Volatility Up | Economic Surprise Index
Show Summary:
Derek Moore is back to discuss the recent talk from the “talking heads on TV” that the economy is weakening. What are they looking at and are they right? Then Derek explains using Tesla as an example of implied volatility going higher while a stock runs higher. Reviewing the latest nonfarm payrolls, unemployment rate, and initial jobless claims. Finally, Derek goes through what happens when markets go up from a fundamental standpoint including Forward PE multiples changing, earnings estimates, share buybacks, and dividend yield. All of this and more on this week’s episode.
All this and more!
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Topics Include:
- Tesla implied volatility surges along with its stock price
- Why volatility can go higher even when markets or stocks don’t go down
- Is the economy weakening?
- Reviewing the economic surprise index and what it measures
- Share buyback yield
- Share buybacks effect on EPS
- Dividend yields as a contribution to total return
- Forward PE multiples and effects on market prices
- Forward earnings estimate on the S&P 500 Index companies
- How companies joining and leaving the S&P 500 Index can affect earnings
- Looking at college bachelor’s degree and higher unemployment rate for clues
- Atlanta Fed GDP Now
Previous Week’s Podcast:
Is Nvidia in a Bubble? | Don’t Give Up on the Bull Market Yet? | French Election Implied Volatility | Shipping Containers
Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge
Derek’s new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking
Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart
Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com