No Volmageddon 2.0 | No Landing for the Economy?
Derek Moore is back with ZEGA Financial CEO Jay Pestrichelli to discuss recent discussion on 0 DTE (zero days to expiration) options and potential for a new Volmageddon event due to them. Then, they again get into The Fed and the idea of hard landing, soft landing, or no landing (that’s a new one). Plus, they discuss some odds and ends within markets and the economy including some chart crimes, shipping container rates, next 12 month returns ONCE a bear market bottom is in, and why US Investment Grade Bonds are yielding less than the 3-month treasury bond at higher percentages than before.
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- Volmageddon 2.0 (or Volpocalypse 2.0)
- What are 0 DTE Zero Days to Expiration Options
- Why we now see much more trading in 0 DTE Options
- Why 0 DTE options aren’t that big of a deal
- What is a No Landing Economy scenario?
- Why the Fed might revert back to the 90s on interest rates
- If the economy is growing why do rates need to fall?
- The idea of the Fed keeping dry powder just in case
- Non-voting Fed members are making a lot of noise about rates
- IF the bear market low is in (and that’s still an if) forward 12 month returns positive
- Shipping container rates including the Rotterdam to New York down 80% off highs
- Examples of 2011 expiration of SPY options available versus now (hint a lot more now)
- Comparing treasury yield curves over select periods
- Bankruptcies and 90-day credit card delinquencies are up (do these lack perspective?)
Mentioned in this Episode:
Jay and Derek’s prior episode ‘Now Everyone is Bullish? | Shocking Impact of Missing Just the 2 Best Days Each Year
Bloomberg: JP Morgan’s Kolanovic Warns of Volmageddon 2.0’ risk in Options
Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge
Derek’s new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking
Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart